Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2025

In a world increasingly rocked by trade tensions, geopolitical unease, and climate shocks, the World Bank’s April 2025 Commodity Markets Outlook delivers a compelling narrative: commodity prices are set to fall around 12% in 2025 and another 5% in 2026, driven by slowing global demand, ample oil supply, and industrial softness—yet amidst this decline, precious metals, especially gold and silver, are rising as safe-haven assets, expected to remain 50–60% above their 2015–19 average. For investors, this shifting landscape is not just a warning signal but also an invitation—those who position early in resilient sectors and hedge smartly against volatility will stand to capture outsized gains in the new global cycle.

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