Can Alliances with the US Be Replaced?

Debates over a potential US withdrawal from NATO have heightened concerns about the reliability of traditional alliances, prompting uncertainty across Europe and Southeast Asia. Analysts suggest no single replacement will emerge; instead, a “multiplex world” of multiple power centres is taking shape. As US policy becomes less predictable, middle powers are gaining prominence by forming flexible partnerships and supporting multilateral frameworks. Initiatives led by Japan and ASEAN illustrate this shift. For Thailand, the challenge lies in balancing its US alliance with broader strategic partnerships. Strengthening regional institutions and diversifying ties will be essential to navigating a more fragmented and uncertain global order.

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