The Amundi Investment Institute’s April 2025 report, “Liberation Day Tariffs: An Initial Assessment,” analyzes the sweeping new U.S. tariffs under President Trump, marking the highest average tariff rate in a century.

Outlining the sweeping effects of the U.S. administration’s new “Liberation Day” tariff measures, which impose a 36% levy on Thai exports—starting with 10% on April 5 and an additional 26% on April 9, this short report covers the impacts that will befall Thailand in the days to come.

Investors are closely monitoring U.S.-China relations, as trade policies and diplomatic strains could significantly impact global markets. Thailand’s economy and stock market are projected to experience various influences based on both domestic and international factors.

Thailand’s economic outlook for 2025 is under pressure from earthquake-related losses and the threat of US tariff hikes, with potential financial damage estimated at THB30bn ($820mn) and GDP growth at risk of a 1% decline, economists said at a Fitch Ratings seminar on April 1, according to a report by The Nation.

The study finds that Monetary Policy (MP) is generally more consistent with expected growth outcomes and more effective in sustaining long-term economic expansion.

Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra is facing the ordeal of being the sole target of opposition parties in a no-confidence debate in the House of Representatives.

In 2025, Thailand's international tourist arrivals are projected to grow by 15.2% year-on-year, reaching 41.9 million, up from 36.3 million in 2024.

Thailand’s digital economy has been rapidly evolving in recent years, driven by factors such as increasing internet penetration, smartphone adoption, and government initiatives. However, this growth also brings new challenges, including the proliferation of online scams, misinformation, and potential threats to cybersecurity.

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