Four Futures for the New Economy: Geoeconomics and Technology in 2030

Navigating the new economy demands foresight as businesses face heightened uncertainty from geopolitical fragmentation, rapid technological change, and increasingly complex risk dynamics. Insights from the World Economic Forum’s Scenarios for the Global Economy Dialogue Series and a 2025 survey of chief strategy officers highlight AI commercialization and geoeconomics as the most significant forces shaping corporate strategy over the next five years. Four possible global economic scenarios for 2030 are outlined, based on differing trajectories of geopolitics and technology adoption, each presenting distinct challenges and opportunities. Across all scenarios, a set of “no-regret” strategic priorities emerges, including strengthening core operations, improving geopolitical and data-driven intelligence, investing in resilient supply chains and emerging technologies, aligning human capital with technology, and deepening strategic partnerships.

Learn More About It Here