Global Economic Futures: Competitiveness in 2030
The global economy is entering a period of heightened uncertainty and volatility, driven by deepening geopolitical divisions, tightening regulations, and structural shifts in productivity. In this challenging environment, competitiveness has become a strategic priority for both countries and firms. Key drivers such as geopolitics, regulation, technology, and talent are reshaping how economic strength is built and sustained. Strategic agility, innovation, and resilience now carry equal importance to openness and efficiency. To explore possible futures, the report outlines four scenarios for 2030 that vary by degrees of geopolitical volatility and regulatory stringency.
These scenarios highlight the diverse risks and opportunities industries may face, from protectionist fragmentation to open innovation. To navigate these futures, businesses and governments are encouraged to strengthen core capabilities, invest in foresight and geopolitical resilience, streamline compliance, and build strategic partnerships. The ability to adapt to evolving global dynamics will define the future of competitiveness.