Assessing Market Risk in Indonesia's Critical Mineral: Strategies for a Resilient Supply Chain

Indonesia’s critical minerals strategy has successfully attracted downstream investment through export restrictions and complementary policy incentives, particularly in nickel and bauxite processing. However, sustaining long-term competitiveness requires addressing structural market risks, including concentrated dependence on China, rapid technological shifts in battery production, governance fragmentation, and increasingly stringent global ESG standards. Strengthening institutional coordination, diversifying investment and export markets, expanding energy and processing infrastructure, and enhancing regulatory certainty will be essential to deepen domestic value creation, improve supply chain resilience, and secure Indonesia’s position in the evolving global critical minerals value chain.

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